Annals of Internal Medicine

Viral infections remain a cause of substantial morbidity and mortality in allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (aHCT) recipients. While antiviral prophylaxis has dramatically reduced the risk of herpes simplex virus (HSV) disease, the relationship between HSV serostatus and major post-transplant complications in the context of HSV prophylaxis is unknown. We evaluated the association between HSV serostatus and survival among adults who received a first aHCT at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center between 2002 and 2022. Patients were screened for HSV-1 and HSV-2 by Western blot (WB) prior to transplant. We fit Cox proportional hazards models for mortality up to one year post-transplant, comparing HSV seropositive to seronegative patients. Models were adjusted for age, sex, cytomegalovirus (CMV) serostatus, conditioning regimen, disease risk, graft type and HLA matching, year of transplant and acute graft-versus host disease. A total of 4,016 aHCT recipients were included in this analysis. The cumulative all-cause 1-year mortality was 29.8%. For HSV-1, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for all-cause mortality comparing seropositive to seronegative individuals was 1.20 (95% CI: 1.06-1.36). The aHRs for relapse, non-relapse mortality (NRM) and relapse-related mortality (RRM) were 1.46 (1.24-1.71), 1.04 (0.89-1.21), and 1.75 (1.40-2.19), respectively. For HSV-2, the aHRs for all-cause mortality, relapse, NRM, and RRM were 1.03 (0.93-1.14), 1.16 (1.03-1.31), 0.99 (0.87-1.13), and 1.13 (0.97-1.33), respectively. Despite universal antiviral prophylaxis, HSV-1 seropositivity was associated with higher mortality in the year after transplant, driven by RRM. Further studies are needed to confirm the association and understand the potential mechanisms underlying this relationship.

Kidney transplant recipients experience a higher burden of several malignancies, yet the factors associated with prostate cancer presentation after transplantation remain poorly understood. Unlike malignancies strongly associated with impaired immune surveillance, prostate cancer has not consistently demonstrated an increased incidence after transplantation, suggesting that different mechanisms may underlie disease presentation. This study evaluated recipient, donor, transplant, immunologic, and immunosuppressive factors associated with prostate cancer phenotype after kidney transplantation. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using national transplant registry data from adult kidney transplant recipients diagnosed with post-transplant prostate cancer between 2015 and 2024. Cases were classified as de novo (no pre-transplant history of prostate cancer) or recurrent (documented pre-transplant history). Multivariable Firth penalized logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with recurrent phenotype. Prespecified sensitivity analyses included deceased donor restricted models, incorporation of donor organ quality variables, and adjustment for time from transplantation to cancer diagnosis. Exploratory machine learning analyses included elastic net logistic regression, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting. The cohort included 660 recipients, of whom 623 (94.4%) had de novo disease and 37 (5.6%) had recurrent disease. Recipient age was the only variable consistently associated with recurrent phenotype across primary and sensitivity analyses (adjusted odds ratio per year 1.11, 95% CI 1.05-1.17; p<0.001). Immunosuppressive regimen, donor characteristics, immunologic variables, and time from transplantation to cancer diagnosis were not independently associated with phenotype in the primary cohort. In deceased donor restricted analyses, alemtuzumab induction showed an exploratory association with recurrent phenotype, although estimates were imprecise. Machine learning models demonstrated modest discrimination and calibration and did not outperform penalized regression approaches. These findings suggest that, among kidney transplant recipients with prostate cancer, differences between recurrent and de novo presentation are more closely associated with recipient age and underlying disease characteristics than with transplant exposures or specific immunosuppressive regimens.

Background. Fluid collections are common after kidney transplantation, but their prevalence at scheduled imaging and their management are inconsistent from canter to canter. We describe the cross sectional prevalence and management of perigraft collections, including an exploratory deepdrain subgroup. Methods. In this retrospective single center cohort, 146 consecutive adult kidney transplant recipients (Cleveland Clinic Weston Hospital, July 2024 to June 2025) were imaged on postoperative day 0/1 and at approximately 1 and 3 months. Routine deep drainage was avoided (n=124), 22 clinically selected recipients with perioperative anticoagulation received a deep drain. The primary outcome was cross sectional prevalence of a perigraft collection at each visit. Secondary outcomes were management among patients with a collection. Drain group comparisons were exploratory. Results. Collections were present in 29 of 146 recipients at postoperative day 0/1 (19.9%; 95% CI, 14.2 to 27.1), 71 of 146 at 1 month (48.6%; 95% CI, 40.7 to 56.7), and 34 of 146 at 3 months (23.3%; 95% CI, 17.2 to 30.8). Prevalence in the no drain group was 21.0%, 50.0%, and 23.4%, respectively; corresponding prevalence in the deep drain group was 13.6%, 40.9%, and 22.7%. Between group prevalence comparisons were not statistically significant at any time point. BMI was higher in the deep-drain group than in the no-drain group (30.04 vs 27.1 kg/m2; P=0.01). Among patients with a 1-month collection, management did not differ significantly between groups (any invasive management, 11.1% vs 16.1%; P=1.00). Among patients with a 3month collection, invasive management was more common in the deep drain group than in the no drain group (80.0% vs 13.8%; P=0.007). This comparison included only five deep-drain recipients and was confounded by clinical selection, perioperative anticoagulation, and BMI imbalance. Conclusions. Perigraft collection prevalence was highest at 1 month and lower at 3 months in this predominantly no drain cohort. Most collections were managed conservatively, and invasive treatment was uncommon in the no-drain group. The deep drain subgroup provides clinically relevant information about high risk recipients selected for drainage but cannot support causal conclusions regarding drain benefit or harm. Patient level linkage is required to distinguish persistence, resolution, and new collection formation.

Radiation oncology has a long history of developing in-house health information technology (HIT) tools such as quality assurance (QA) checklists, yet there is little guidance from professional bodies on how to implement these tools in complex clinical environments. Building on our previous work that used human-centered participatory co-design, the Task-User-Representation-Function (TURF) framework, and multi-method usability evaluations to design and develop an enhanced dosimetry QA checklist (DQC), this study investigated the barriers and facilitators (determinants) to implementing the enhanced DQC in a radiation oncology clinic, examined implementation strategies, proposed an implementation framework for QA checklists in radiation oncology, and assessed four implementation outcomes: acceptability, appropriateness, feasibility, and adoption. We conducted a qualitative implementation study using an abductive research approach at an academic medical center. All key stakeholders (dosimetrists, physicists, trainees, and software developers) participated in semi-structured interviews, field observations, and surveys across pre-implementation, implementation, and post-implementation phases. Data were analyzed using a hybrid inductive-deductive approach, with deductive coding guided by an adapted Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR) mapped to the Unified Theory of Acceptance and Use of Technology and by the Expert Recommendations for Implementing Change (ERIC) compilation. We identified 4 CFIR constructs and 12 sub-constructs as barriers, with structural characteristics and planning showing the highest negative valence, and 5 CFIR constructs and 19 sub-constructs as facilitators, with relative advantage, culture, and leadership engagement showing the highest positive valence. Participants' suggestions mapped to 19 ERIC strategies in 7 clusters, and the CFIR-ERIC matching tool identified 14 evidence-based strategies in 4 clusters that informed a proposed phased implementation framework. Acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility scores improved significantly from pre-implementation to implementation for all professional roles (p<0.05), yet adoption reached 100% only in the sixth week of implementation. These findings highlight the value of combining subjective and objective implementation outcomes and provide a practical, evidence-based framework for implementing in-house QA checklists in radiation oncology that warrants validation in diverse settings.

Background Studies of the 2018 United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) policy revision suggest improved early transplantation access for the sickest patients. It remains unknown whether these benefits vary as a function of time on the waitlist. Thus, we evaluated potential time-dependent effects of the 2018 heart allocation policy revision on waitlist outcomes. Methods Using UNOS data, we analyzed adult heart transplant candidates listed five years before (pre-policy) and after (post-policy) policy change, categorized as high-acuity (Status 1-3 or 1A) or low-acuity (Status 4-6 or 1B/old 2). Landmark analysis at weeks 0, 1, 2, 4, 8, 16, 24 using a competing risks framework was performed to assess transplantation, death/deterioration, and myocardial recovery. Sub-distribution and cause-specific hazard ratios were calculated. Absolute number and proportion of far-away transplants (donor distance [&ge;]500 nautical miles) were calculated at each timepoint. Results High-acuity patients experienced significantly higher risk of transplantation within 2 weeks post-policy change but equivocal risk by week 16. Low-acuity patients exhibited increased rate/risk of myocardial recovery and equal or improved death/deterioration risk at all timepoints; early transplantation cumulative incidence was increased. At all timepoints, both groups experienced significantly increased far-away donor use, highest immediately after listing and progressively declining over time. Conclusions The 2018 heart allocation policy change resulted in an initial appearance of time-dependent benefits among high-acuity, post-policy patients, but this was likely due to rapid transplantation of Status 1 and 2 patients from broader geographic sharing rather than a true temporal phenomenon. Post-policy, low-acuity patients experience benefits in all waitlist outcomes.

Background: Adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients are prone to HLA-antibody formation from multiple surgeries, transfusions, and prosthetic surgical material. Females with ACHD may accrue additional, non-surgical alloantigen exposure. Whether sex modifies the impact of allosensitization on heart transplant (HT) access and outcomes in ACHD remains unknown. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed the OPTN/UNOS registry of adults with ACHD listed for first-time HT (2018-2025). Sensitization was defined by calculated panel reactive antibodies (cPRA) at listing. We tested the sex x sensitization (highly sensitized, cPRA >50%) interaction on transplant access using Fine-Gray competing-risks regression, treating transplantation as the event of interest and death or removal from the waitlist as competing events, and on post-transplant survival using multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression, both adjusted for age at listing, mechanical support at listing, and the number of distinct prior cardiac surgery categories. Results: Among 856 candidates (38% female), females were more often highly sensitized than males (23% vs 14%; age-adjusted OR 1.81, 95% CI 1.26-2.61), even after adjusting for surgical burden. Sensitization reduced transplant access in females (84% to 71%; median wait 60 to 110 days, p < 0.001) but not males (79% vs 79%, median wait 88 vs 98 days). In adjusted Fine-Gray models, the subdistribution hazard for transplant was reduced in sensitized females (sHR 0.54, 95% CI 0.41-0.72) with no effect in males (sHR 0.96, 95% CI 0.73-1.26), and the sex x sensitization interaction was significant (interaction sHR 0.64, 95% CI 0.44-0.94, p = 0.02). Post-transplant mortality was numerically higher in sensitized than non-sensitized candidates in both sexes and the sex x sensitization interaction on 1-year mortality was not significant. The sex-asymmetric effect persisted and was more pronounced in the multiorgan candidates. Conclusions: Allosensitization is not a sex-neutral barrier to transplant in HT candidates with ACHD. Females are more sensitized and have reduced transplant access without differences in 1-year mortality. The female excess in sensitization is not accounted for by surgical burden, and the exposures responsible remain to be defined. These findings warrant a sex-aware listing strategy and further studies.

Importance: In the US, Human papillomavirus (HPV) related cancers cause significant morbidity and mortality, yet HPV vaccine is underutilized. Vaccination is recommended routinely at age 11-12 years but can be given at 9 years. There is controversy about whether earlier introduction would increase completion of the HPV series before by age 13 years or whether it might decrease rates of delivery of other routinely recommended vaccines at 11-12-years [quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate (MenACWY) vaccine, and tetanus-diptheria-acellular pertussis (Tdap) vaccine]. Objective: To determine whether introduction of the HPV vaccine at ages 9-10 versus 11-12 years, results in earlier median age of series completion (primary outcome) and higher rates of initiation and completion by age 13 years. We also examined the effect of earlier introduction of HPV on rates of Tdap and MenACWY initiation and completion by age 13 years. Design: Two-arm cluster-randomized trial involving 31 pediatric practices in Colorado and California between 10/2021-4/2026. Practices were randomized using covariate constrained randomization within each state to Intervention (introduction of HPV vaccination at ages 9-10) or Control (introduction at ages 11-12). Both study groups received similar annual training about best practices for HPV vaccination with recommended initiation age as the only difference. Results: Age at HPV series completion was substantially earlier in the Intervention group (median 12.2 v. 13.3 years; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.37; 95% CI 1.94-2.89). Key secondary outcomes were also improved in the intervention group: age at series initiation (median 11.0 v. 11.8 years; aHR 2.19; 95% CI 1.84-2.62), series completion by 13 years (61.6% v. 45.1%; RR 1.37; 95% CI 1.04-1.74), and vaccine initiation by age 13 years (77.1% v. 67.0%; RR 1.15; 95% CI 1.00-1.33). The intervention group was more likely to receive Tdap (aHR 1.47;95%CI 1.13, 1.92) during the trial; receipt of both vaccines by age 13 years did not differ. Conclusions: Earlier introduction of HPV vaccination resulted in earlier age of series completion, and more adolescents initiating and completing the series by age 13 without decreasing rates of other routinely recommended vaccines. Our findings support a preferential recommendation at 9-10 years. Trial registration number: NCT04722822 ClinicalTrial.gov

Background: The Lung Transplant Frailty Scale (LT-FS) is a validated binary measure of frailty in lung transplant candidates. We aimed to refine the LT-FS Base and Body Composition measures by developing a three-category classification to improve clinical risk stratification with serum albumin as a more clinically practical frailty biomarker. Methods: To develop the refined LT-FS, we applied a 4-step measure development method to a multicenter prospective cohort study of lung transplant candidates. Low albumin (<3.5 g/dL) replaced high serum C-reactive protein ([&ge;]10 mg/L) as the LT-FS biomarker. Cutpoints that balanced discrimination, risk prediction, and calibration were identified to define ''frail'', ''pre-frail'', and ''not frail'' categories. Next, we evaluated associations between the refined LT-FS and exercise capacity, patient-reported outcomes, and mortality using multivariate linear and Cox regression. Results: Among 419 participants, the refined LT-FS identified a graded increase in mortality risk across frailty categories. For example, compared with candidates who were not frail, pre-frailty and frailty by the LT-FS Body Composition were associated with a 2.9-fold (HR 2.9, 95% CI 1.2-6.9) and 7-fold (HR 6.9, 95% CI 2.6-18.2) higher risk of waitlist delisting or death, respectively. Pre-frailty and frailty by LT-FS Body Composition were associated with 2-fold (HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.2-3.8) and 3.6-fold (HR 3.6, 95% CI 1.8-7.3) higher risk of mortality after transplant. Relationships with exercise capacity and patient-reported disability were less consistent. Conclusions: A refined Lung Transplant Frailty Scale incorporating serum albumin demonstrates strong associations with waitlist and post-transplant mortality. The addition of a pre-frail category better captures the continuum of frailty and improves clinical risk stratification of lung transplant candidates.

Importance Public prostate cancer data may appear under different repository identifiers or releases while representing overlapping patients, specimens, or sample records. The implications for reported analytic independence require assessment at both resource and publication levels. Objective To characterize supported nonindependence among selected public prostate cancer resources and assess reported overlap control in publications using related resources. Design Cross-sectional methodological audit. Resource records were reconciled through September 2, 2026; recovery of retained sources and adjudication continued through September 8, 2026. Language-model extraction and targeted original-source checks informed deterministic classification. The authors manually verified all positive findings, including supplementary materials, in September 2026. Setting Public prostate cancer repositories and Europe PMC and PubMed retrieval, with a publication cutoff of August 15, 2026. Participants A nonrepresentative frame of 189 repository study records and 108 publication/version records contributing 230 publication-resource-pair records. Exposures Analytic use of both endpoints of a confirmed resource relation in the same linked claim. Main Outcomes and Measures Supported identity levels and resolvable patient-identifier counts; reported overlap control when linked analyses required independent records. Unresolved evidence was retained separately. Published results were not reanalyzed. Results The audit identified 101 supported resource pairs: 97 with direct patient, specimen, or sample-record identity, 1 with component containment, and 3 with study/source nonindependence. Among 108 publication/version records, 8 (6 journal articles and 2 preprint versions) used related resources in analyses requiring independence without reporting applicable overlap controls. Another 3 reported applicable controls, 16 retained reporting gaps, and 81 fell outside the qualifying use or relation criteria. One of the 8 had 45 shared sample identifiers in two validation sheets, corroborating sample-record reuse but not donor identity. No global independent-patient total or prevalence estimate was established. Conclusions and Relevance Resource nonindependence coexisted with absent claim-specific control reporting, with direct sample-record corroboration in one publication. The findings support provenance-aware use and explicit reporting, without establishing effects on published results.

Importance: With a recent shift towards summer seasonal predominance of COVID-19 across much of the US, debate continues over optimal COVID-19 vaccination strategies regarding timing (including summer vaccination), eligibility, and dosing frequency. We evaluated the population-level impact of alternative vaccine strategies to inform US and state vaccine policy. Objective: To compare reductions in COVID-19 hospitalizations under different vaccination timing, eligibility, and dosing frequency. Design: Decision analytical model using a stochastic individual-based model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, calibrated to US COVID-19 hospitalization incidence from May 2024-April 2025. Setting: Simulated US national population, with additional scenarios representing state-level seasonal patterns. Participants: Simulated population of 5 million individuals with US age structure, stratified by risk group (immunocompetent, high risk with comorbid conditions, or immunocompromised). Exposures: Vaccination timing, universal or age- and risk-based eligibility, and dosing frequency, including a hybrid strategy of universal annual vaccination with a second dose for adults [&ge;]65 years and immunocompromised adults (US vaccine policy during the study period). Main Outcomes and Measures: COVID-19 hospitalization risk per 100,000 persons by age-risk group, measured among vaccinated individuals and in the total population. Results: If summer COVID-19 vaccination timing is feasible, annual universal vaccination in July minimized risk (441 [95% UI: 423-463] COVID-19 hospitalizations per 100,000 persons among adults [&ge;]65 years) compared to a counterfactual scenario with no additional vaccination given during the study period (578 [553-601]). If timing does not change, hybrid vaccination minimized risk, followed by semiannual risk-based vaccination (460 [440-487] and 477 [454-499] hospitalizations per 100,000 in adults [&ge;]65 years, respectively). The advantage of summer timing diminished if vaccine coverage decreased by 5-10 absolute percentage points (25-50% relative decrease). The magnitude of benefit from summer-timed vaccination and semiannual doses in the highest-risk groups varied regionally. Conclusions and Relevance: Although annual COVID-19 vaccination has historically been timed for winter transmission, summer vaccination may avert more hospitalizations if coverage is maintained, especially in states with predominantly summer transmission including Western and Southern states. The comparative impact of vaccination strategies, especially the benefit of a semiannual dose in the highest-risk groups, may vary regionally. COVID-19 vaccination timing and eligibility may warrant reconsideration.

This study documents the derivation and validation of a deterministic algorithm for cause-of-death (COD) ascertainment from longitudinal real-world medical claims data, evaluated against an independent state-level death certificate file. Death certificates are the dominant reference standard in mortality research but carry well-documented limitations, including primary-cause error rates estimated at 20-40\% across empirical studies. A matched analytic cohort of 216,382 individuals (Connecticut death records, 2017--2025, age 25 and above) was constructed after exclusion of mechanism-of-injury cases and removal of ill-defined symptom-code entries from both sources. Concordance between algorithmic and certificate-based COD was assessed through three complementary frameworks: age-stratified positive predictive value (PPV) at the ICD-10-CM chapter level under a full-set concordance scenario; mean absolute rank difference (MARD) for chapters identified by both sources; and analyses of breadth, depth, and code-level specificity of COD reporting. Chapter-level PPV was strongest for individuals aged 55 and above, with all estimates representing conservative lower bounds given the known error rate of the certificate reference standard. The algorithm consistently reported broader and more granular contributing cause profiles than the death certificate, with discordances directionally consistent with the well-documented tendency of certificates to under-report contributing conditions. These findings support the conclusion that algorithmic COD ascertainment from longitudinal claims data is a feasible and scalable alternative to certificate-based attribution and, at population scale, a principled methodology for characterising death certificate error rates beyond what small-sample chart review studies can achieve.

Background. Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome affects nearly 90% of US adults, yet most individuals at early, modifiable stages remain unidentified outside clinical care. Blood donation centers offer a scalable, non-clinical venue for CKM screening, but the potential benefit of screening in this context remains unclear. We projected the population-level impact of effective digital return of results (ROR) to inform the design of a pragmatic trial. Methods. We developed a Monte Carlo simulation (100,000 iterations) of the incident major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), end-stage renal disease (ESRD), and type 2 diabetes (T2DM) preventable by ROR-prompted, guideline-concordant follow-up among donors in CKM Stages 1-2. The estimand counts only events averted by donors who act because of ROR; the intervention effect was modeled directly on strictly positive support, and action was translated into prevented events through a hazard-based cumulative-incidence difference that counts each donor at most once. We evaluated 18 design cells (donor volumes 300,000, 1 million, and 8 million/year; 5- and 10-year horizons; action-rate gains of +10, +20, and +30 percentage points [pp]) and, in a complementary two-arm simulation, the assurance (expected power) of detecting the effect in a single deployment. Results. Under the primary +20 pp scenario, ROR at a single large blood center (300,000 donors/year) is projected to prevent a median of 2,201 events (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 1,099-4,364) over 10 years, scaling to 58,526 (29,154-116,769) at the national donor pool. All 18 design cells had strictly positive 95% lower bounds. The number needed to screen was 136 and the screening cost $2,045 per event prevented (at $15/donor), both invariant to donor volume. Impact scaled linearly with volume and effect size but sub-linearly with the horizon. Detection of the effect was effectively certain at gains of +20 pp or larger (assurance [&ge;]99.6% in every cell and >99.9% in all but the smallest 5-year cell). Conclusions. Even under the conservative scenario, digital CKM ROR at blood donation centers is projected to prevent hundreds to tens of thousands of incident cardiometabolic events at a screening cost per event well within accepted prevention benchmarks, providing prospective, quantitative justification for a pragmatic, randomized evaluation of digital ROR in non-clinical screening settings.

Background: Reactivation of herpes simplex viruses (HSV) can occur in the early post-allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (aHCT) period despite antiviral prophylaxis. Few studies have assessed HSV infection in the modern era, in which acyclovir/valacyclovir is recommended for up to 1 year post aHCT. We evaluated the incidence and management of breakthrough HSV during the first 100 days post-aHCT over two decades. Methods: Patients who received their first aHCT at Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center between 2002-2022 were reviewed for breakthrough HSV infection within the first 100 days on prophylaxis (acyclovir 800 mg or valacyclovir 500 mg twice daily). Cases were identified via culture, polymerase chain reaction, and/or direct fluorescent antibody testing; clinical records were reviewed for symptoms, outcomes, and prophylaxis/treatment regimens. Refractory/resistant (R/R) infections were defined according to consensus guidelines. Results: We reviewed data from 4,357 aHCT recipients aged [&ge;]18 years, among whom 3,749 (86%) were HSV seropositive and 23 developed breakthrough HSV infection (observed probability = 0.6%). Among those who had an infection, the median time from transplant to first positive test was 46 days (IQR: 24.0-69.5). Oral and genital mucosa were the most common sites of infection. In total, 11 of 23 (47.8%) patients with breakthrough HSV developed R/R infection. Conclusions: Breakthrough HSV infections are rare in the first 100 days after aHCT among patients receiving antiviral prophylaxis. Refractory/resistant infections were uncommon but represented almost half of breakthrough cases. Our findings highlight the sustained effectiveness of universal prophylaxis in the early post-transplant period.

Background: Histopathological diagnoses in kidney transplant biopsies, as described by the Banff classification, suffer from substantial inter-observer variability and misinterpretation, making them prone to diagnostic errors. Continuous indices based on BanffNET automated lesion scores are proposed to quantify the continuous phenotypic spectrum of kidney transplant biopsies, complementary to pathologist assessment of biopsies. Methods: The BanffNET model was used to obtain continuous lesion scoring for a training cohort of 2544 biopsies, a large validation cohort of 3863 biopsies, and a multi-reader cohort of 36 biopsies scored by 67 pathologists. A penalized regression approach was used to condense 17 automated lesion scores into four indices, representing the most important dimensions of graft injury: a TCMR/TI Index, an AMR/MVI Index, an Activity Index and a Chronicity Index. The BanffNET Indices were evaluated against Banff diagnoses and histological indices in the training cohort and validation cohort. Since pathologist-assigned Banff lesions and diagnoses suffer from inter-observer variability, associations were also assessed with diagnoses in a multi-reader study, with time to kidney graft failure in the training and validation cohort and with biopsy-based molecular signatures in the validation cohort. Results: The BanffNET TCMR/TI Index, AMR/MVI Index and Activity Index showed excellent discrimination of Banff TCMR, Banff MVI and Banff Any Diagnosis respectively, with validation AUCs ranging from 0.80 to 0.92. In addition, the BanffNET Indices explained large amounts of variability in multi-observer reference standards, time to graft failure and molecular biopsy-based diagnostics. In the large majority of cases, variability explained by BanffNET Indices matched or exceeded the variability explained by pathologist-assigned diagnoses and histological indices. Conclusions: BanffNET Indices are reproducible descriptors of whole slide images that could complement and augment kidney transplant biopsy evaluation by pathologists. Associations of BanffNET Indices with multi-observer diagnoses and related outcomes suggest that they capture additional information on tissue injury type and severity on top of pathologist-assigned Banff diagnoses and histological indices.

AO_SCPLOWBSTRACTC_SCPLOWO_ST_ABSBackgroundC_ST_ABSLung donor-recipient matching requires balancing recipient medical urgency with expected post-transplant benefit. Conventional prediction models estimate outcomes for historical donor-recipient pairs but do not directly compare alternative candidates for the same donor. We developed an offline contextual-bandit framework to assess the feasibility of learning donor-centered lung-matching policies from historical registry data. MethodsWe used linked United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS)/Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) Standard Transplant Analysis and Research files to identify 8,529 lung transplant allocation events from 2023 through 2025. Each event included the historical recipient and nine date-matched, ABO-compatible pseudo-candidates. The reward combined 72-hour respiratory-support-free survival (weight, 0.75) with a normalized initial Composite Allocation Score waitlist medical-urgency score (weight, 0.25). We trained a pessimistic neural lower-confidence-bound contextual-bandit policy (NeuraLCB) and evaluated it on held-out donor events using matched-action evaluation and self-normalized inverse propensity scoring (SNIPS). ResultsThe reconstructed dataset contained 85,290 donor-candidate rows. In the held-out set of 1,706 allocation events, the observed clinician reward was 0.534 (95% CI, 0.518-0.549). NeuraLCB agreed with the historical recipient in 174 events (10.2%), with a matched-action reward of 0.616. The SNIPS-estimated value of the NeuraLCB policy was 0.649 (95% CI, 0.568-0.717), corresponding to a paired difference of +0.116 (95% CI, +0.035 to +0.181) relative to observed clinician reward. However, the effective sample size was 51.5 events, indicating limited overlap between the learned and estimated historical policies. ConclusionsThis study demonstrates the feasibility of constructing and evaluating an offline contextual-bandit framework for lung donor-recipient matching using registry data. The estimated policy value was higher than the observed historical reward, but this finding is exploratory because candidate sets were reconstructed and off-policy evaluation had limited overlap. Verified offer sets, time-stamped candidate data, explicit compatibility constraints, and prospective evaluation are required before clinical use.

Fairness audits of chest radiograph artificial intelligence usually score subgroup performance against labels extracted from radiology reports by natural language processing (NLP). We tested whether these labels can make a model look fairer than it is, a failure we call phantom fairness. On 4,376 NIH ChestX-ray14 images with both NLP and radiologist-adjudicated labels, we audited classifiers from three backbones by sex, age, projection and older women. NLP labels missed 54% to 59% of radiologist-confirmed airspace opacity, pneumothorax and nodule or mass, and every fracture. These misses were not random: models scored them lower than NLP-caught positives for every finding and backbone (median rank-biserial correlation 0.20 for the primary backbone and 0.16 for the others; all adjusted p [&le;] 0.038), so the labelling errors hid the models' own mistakes. Subgroup gaps were larger on adjudicated labels in 16 of 24 comparisons, none individually significant. For pneumothorax in women older than 60 years, the NLP audit showed a sensitivity gap of 0.064 against a true gap of 0.184; removing the hardest positives reproduced this concealment (0.124 against 0.120 observed), whereas random label errors produced less (0.077). Fairness audits based on NLP-extracted labels should be treated as provisional until checked against radiologist-adjudicated labels.

Background Delayed graft function (DGF) is among the most used metrics in transplant medicine, yet its prevailing definition-dialysis requirement within the first seven postoperative days lacks granularity and fails to capture the dynamic nature of graft recovery. It reflects a treatment decision rather than graft biology, varies by centre practice, and offers no temporal information about the pace or pattern of recovery. This study proposes a trajectory-based framework using serial serum creatinine measurements across three biologically defined time windows to capture the dynamic nature of early renal recovery. Methods We retrospectively analysed 205 adult kidney transplant recipients at Cleveland Clinic Weston Hospital in 2025. Donor groups included living donors, donation after brain death (DBD), donation after circulatory death with normothermic regional perfusion (DCD-NRP), and DCD without NRP. Creatinine slopes were estimated for Days 1-7, 7-30, and 30-90 using ordinary least-squares regression. Logistic regression assessed the predictive performance of each trajectory window for DGF, adjusting for Kidney Donor Profile Index, cold ischemia time, BMI, and donor type. Results DCD non-NRP kidneys showed negligible early creatinine decline (slope +0.02) compared to DBD (-0.71) and DCD-NRP (-0.57) grafts during Days 1-7. During Days 7-30, DCD-NRP kidneys showed accelerated recovery and converged toward DBD-level trajectories, whereas DCD non-NRP grafts remained sluggish. Predictive modelling identified the Day 7-30 trajectory had the strongest discrimination for DGF, with AUC 0.83, pseudo-R2 0.25, and the lowest AIC (181.73), outperforming Days 1-7 (AUC 0.75) and 30-90 (AUC 0.79). DGF rates were 0% in living donors, 25.5% in DBD, 20.7% in DCD-NRP, and 58.9% in DCD non-NRP recipients. Conclusions A trajectory-based creatinine model provides more informative prognostic value than the conventional binary DGF definition The Day 7-30 window periods offers the highest discriminatory power, and normothermic regional perfusion appears to favourably shift DCD kidney recovery trajectories in a manner the binary definition fails to detect.

Background: Medical-AI publications do more than report technical performance; they also frame AI as beneficial, uncertain, or risky. How this evaluative stance has changed across the medical literature is not well characterized. Objective: To characterize evaluative stance in published medical-AI discourse abstracts from January 2021 through April 2026 and examine variation over time, concern themes, failure mechanisms, specialties, first-author geography, and publication format. Methods: We conducted an LLM-assisted computational content analysis of medical-AI abstracts from first- and second-quartile medical journals. Of 97,492 post-cutoff Q1/Q2 records entering the prefilter, 16,759 were retained as discourse or evaluative. Claude Sonnet 4.6 assigned 16,749 valid stance classifications using Alarm, Caution, Neutral, Cautious Optimism, and Advocacy. Annual analyses used 16,747 records dated 2021-2026. Critical stance was defined as Alarm plus Caution and indexed evaluative scrutiny rather than opposition or author psychology. Each LLM step was validated against blinded human coding by one author: prefilter Cohen kappa = 0.51, stance quadratic-weighted kappa = 0.79 (95% CI 0.72-0.84) for codable, in-scope records, specialty kappa = 0.75, and mechanism-axis kappa = 0.84 for model type and 0.57 for failure mode. Results: Advocacy declined from 2.9% in 2021 to 0.6% in partial 2026, while Cautious Optimism remained the majority stance. Among 16,749 valid classifications, 30.8% were critical. Critical share increased from 25.4% to 32.6%, a 7.25-percentage-point increase based on unrounded estimates. Among critical records, patient safety remained the most prevalent concern. Hallucination/errors increased by 30.9 percentage points. Regulation declined by 22.0 percentage points and ethics/bias by 8.1 percentage points in prevalence share; these declines do not necessarily indicate lower publication counts. Within the hallucination/error theme, factual error was more common than fabrication. Fabrication estimates should be treated as an upper bound because failure-mode agreement was moderate. Specialty patterns were heterogeneous. Critical rate was inversely associated with FDA-cleared device availability (Spearman rho = -0.65, two-sided p = 0.004), which does not measure adoption, deployment, maturity, or clinical use. First-author geography described publication metadata and discourse, not national attitudes or research quality. Reviews were the least critical and most favourable format. In exploratory forward validation, 2 of 78 early Advocacy predictions were fully borne out, although the analysis was single-rater and retrieval-dependent. Conclusions: Published medical-AI abstracts became modestly less promotional and more focused on specific errors and safety concerns. Unqualified promotion declined, but qualified favourable framing remained dominant, and the rise in critical stance was modest. Concern moved toward errors and patient safety, with factual error discussed more often than fabrication. These findings describe published discourse, not AI capability or whether the evaluations were correct.

BackgroundLiving donor kidney transplantation improves outcomes for eligible patients with kidney failure, yet living donation remains limited. Public awareness about the possibility of living donation may not be sufficient to translate into willingness to donate. This study evaluated knowledge, attitudes, personal exposure, perceived barriers, motivators, and financial considerations associated with willingness to participate in living kidney donation among adults in San Antonio, Texas. MethodsA cross-sectional community-based survey was conducted among 346 adults. The survey assessed demographic characteristics, knowledge about kidney transplantation and living donation, personal exposure to dialysis, transplantation, and living kidney donation, misconceptions regarding donation, motivating and discouraging factors, financial considerations, and willingness to become a living donor. Associations with willingness were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models. ResultsAlthough 83.8% of participants knew that a healthy person could donate one kidney while living, only 68 participants (19.8%) expressed general willingness to become a living donor. Only 40.0% identified kidney transplantation as the best treatment for eligible patients with kidney failure. Demographic and socioeconomic factors were not independently associated with willingness, and individual misconceptions were not independently associated with willingness. In the integrated model, knowing a living kidney donor was associated with greater willingness (OR 2.82, 95% CI 1.33-5.95), whereas knowing a transplant recipient was associated with lower willingness (OR 0.42, 95% CI 0.19- 0.96). Helping someone in need was associated with greater willingness (OR 2.48, 95% CI 1.39-4.44), while concern about long-term donor health complications was associated with lesser willingness to donate (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.26-0.90). Nearly half of respondents who answered the compensation question selected a monetary amount that could motivate donation. ConclusionsIn this community-based sample, awareness that living donation is possible did not translate into broad willingness to donate. Willingness appeared to be shaped by personal exposure, altruistic motivation, donor safety concerns and financial considerations. Community education should move beyond basic awareness and address donor safety, financial protection, living donor experiences, and the benefits of kidney transplantation.

Background: Noninvasive biomarkers capable of detecting kidney allograft injury and distinguishing rejection from infection remain an important clinical need. Torque teno virus (TTV) reflects host immune status, but its utility in urine has not been well established. We evaluated urinary TTV, total cell-free DNA (cfDNA), cfDNA fragmentation, and BK polyomavirus (BKV) as potential biomarkers of kidney transplant rejection and BK polyomavirus-associated nephropathy (BKPyVAN). Methods: Urine samples from 334 kidney transplant recipients were analyzed in association with kidney biopsies performed within 30 days of sample collection. TTV and cfDNA were measured by multiplex quantitative PCR (qPCR), with a subset analyzed by digital PCR (dPCR), and BKV was quantified by qPCR. Associations with biopsy results were evaluated using group comparisons and nominal logistic regression. Changes associated with outcomes of consecutive biopsies were assessed by matched pairs analysis. Results: Among 544 unique urine samples, the urinary TTV/cfDNA ratio was significantly lower in rejection than in non-rejection samples (P<0.0001). Logistic regression adjusted for demographic factors confirmed an inverse association between the qPCR-derived TTV/cfDNA metric and rejection (adjusted odds ratio per delta Cq, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.88-0.94; P<0.00001). Significant differences were observed for all types of rejection. Association was confirmed by dPCR: higher TTV was associated with lower rejection odds, whereas higher cfDNA was associated with greater rejection odds. A nominal logistic model incorporating dPCR measurements achieved an AUROC of 0.76 (95% CI, 0.69-0.82). Matched pairs analysis showed a significant decrease in TTV/cfDNA when rejection developed and an increase following recovery from rejection, with no significant changes when biopsy status remained unchanged. BKV levels were strongly associated with BKPyVAN. No correlation between TTV and BKV was observed. Nominal logistic regression integrating TTV, cfDNA, and BKV measurements yielded AUROCs of 0.75, 0.97, and 0.73 for rejection, BKPyVAN, and non-rejection, respectively. Conclusions: A reduced urinary TTV/cfDNA ratio is associated with biopsy-defined kidney transplant rejection, and changes in the ratio correlate with transitions in biopsy results. Combined TTV, cfDNA, and BKV measurements showed differential associations with rejection and BKPyVAN, supporting further evaluation as complementary urinary biomarkers.